Fallout from the Bailout

By

Thomas Schinkel

October 5, 2008

Rescue or Bailout? Wall Street or Main Street?

Have you noticed? Less than three days after the deal was done, it is already politically incorrect to call it a bailout plan. The correct wording now is ‘Rescue Plan’, and it is not Wall Street that is being rescued; no, it is Main Street that is being bailed out. What a difference a week makes!

Leaving that one for what it is seems to be, at least for now, here are twelve talking points for the “ME” generation, exploring what can be expected in the aftermath of “Project Main Street’s” approval by Congress last Friday. Keep in mind that as of today it is entirely unsure whether the bailout is actually the correct cure for the problem, as defined.

1. Rising Unemployment

Expect unemployment to rise above 7%. And it will take a long time to get this number down to where it was before 2008. Also expect underemployment to rise. More and more people will look for part time jobs, time share jobs, two part time jobs and any other arrangement to bring in cash.

2. Reduced Consumer Spending

Consumers have been spending well beyond their means for years on end. Low interest rates and the resulting housing bubble merely aggravated what should have come to a halt as far back as 2000/2001. Expect a wave of austerity throughout all levels of the economy.

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